unemployment

Defying Expectations, Bankruptcy Filings Are Down During the Covid-19 Crisis So Far

Historically, bankruptcy filings have closely tracked the business cycle and unemployment rates. However, a recent study found that this relationship has reversed during the...

How and When to Restart the Economy: a Webinar with Nobel Laureate Paul Romer

Princeton Professor Markus Brunnermeier and Nobel laureate economist Paul Romer explore what options we have to stop the pandemic and recover economic activities. Is...

Option-Based Credit Spreads Signal a Recession, but the US Stimulus Will Soften the Blow

Over the past month, option-based credit spreads spiked and remain at elevated levels. The surge signals that a recession is at our door, but...

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