recession

After the Lockdown: Italian Consumers Are Cautious About Returning to Normal

The effects of reopening commercial and recreational activities depend not only on legislative provisions but also on the propensity of consumers to...

Option-Based Credit Spreads Signal a Recession, but the US Stimulus Will Soften the Blow

Over the past month, option-based credit spreads spiked and remain at elevated levels. The surge signals that a recession is at our door, but...

This Is Not the Time to Be Cautious. We Need to Contain the Economic Contagion of the Coronavirus

The real danger is that the virus mutates and infects our economic system, even as we manage to root it out of our bodies....

Keeping Business Alive During the Coronavirus Crisis: Government as Buyer of Last Resort

The government has to compensate businesses and workers for their losses so that each business can re-emerge almost intact after the hibernation due to...

Governments and Central Banks Have a Few Unpleasant Options to Stop the Economic Contagion

The global economy and financial markets are seriously hit by the coronavirus outbreak. Central banks can do something, but monetary policy is not enough.  A fiscal stimulus might mitigate the impact, but the record-level outstanding amount of public and private debt adds additional risk to the current perfect storm.  

Paul Krugman on the Economic Impact of Coronavirus: "We Are Very Vulnerable, This Could Be Pretty Bad"

A sneak video preview of next week's episode of Capitalisn't, the podcast hosted by Luigi Zingales and Kate Waldock, in which Nobel Prize-winning economist...

Paul Krugman on the Economic Impact of Coronavirus: “We Are Very Vulnerable, This Could Be Pretty Bad”

A sneak video preview of next week's episode of Capitalisn't, the podcast hosted by Luigi Zingales and Kate Waldock, in which Nobel Prize-winning economist...

LATEST NEWS

Can Covid-19 Erode Young Individuals’ Trust in Politics for Decades to Come?

A new study shows that exposure to an epidemic during one's “impressionable years” (18-25) has a persistent negative effect on trust in...

The United States: An Exceptional Case? A Webinar With Stephen Haber, Richard R. John, and Luigi Zingales

Many see the US as a land where free markets and antitrust enforcement have historically kept monopolies under control. But is that...

Bethany McLean’s Fourth of July Weekend Reading List: Jeff Bezos, Homeschooling, and How to Make Capitalism Work for All

Corruption, lobbying, corporate malfeasance, and frauds: a weekly unconventional selection of must-read articles by investigative journalist Bethany McLean. 

Lifting Lockdown Measures Won’t Bring Back Lost Jobs, New Study Suggests

A new paper examines data on local outbreaks in South Korea and finds that even in the absence of lockdowns, an increase...

What Comes Next for Economic Policies to Combat Covid-19? A Conversation Between Six Booth Faculty

As the Covid-19 crisis evolves from a temporary shock into what seems like a long-term catastrophe, six finance scholars from Chicago Booth—Douglas...